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Macro research
Data-driven market analysis combining on-chain data, technical analysis, and macro indicators
Read briefMarketAfter the 25bp Hike: BTC Tagged $87k and Sat Near $84k
On 16 September the FOMC raised the funds rate 25bp to 3.75–4.00%, 12–0. Bitcoin fell to $74,968 on the first day of the meeting, tagged $87,396 on 21 September, and is about $84,441. The US 10-year tape is 5.16%. DXY is back through 101.
Read briefMarketAfter 162k Payrolls and Waller: BTC Tagged $82k and Gave It Back Again
August nonfarm payrolls printed 162,000. Waller laid out a hold condition the day before. Bitcoin tagged $82,300 and lost it on the jobs session. Nvidia cleared $230. Hynix lost 1.69 million won. The tape is still split.
Read briefMarketAfter 3.7% PCE and Warsh: BTC Tagged $81k and Gave It Back
July PCE printed 3.7% year over year. Warsh called the 2% target fixed. The dollar reclaimed 99.2. Bitcoin tagged $81,478 and lost $80,000 the same day. Nvidia beat and reclaimed $218. The tape is still split.
Read briefMarketWhy BTC $76K Matters After the Summer Box Break
Bitcoin left the 62K–67K summer box and tagged $79,500. US stocks and Nvidia did not follow. Korean memory bounced on buybacks. Jackson Hole is next.
Read briefMarketWhy BTC $65K Matters as Long Yields Hit Semiconductors
KOSPI fell 5.8% and SK Hynix dropped 9.8%. The dollar broke below 99, while BTC retests $65,000 inside a 62K–67K range.
Read briefMarketBitcoin at $65K: Why Four Timeframes Need Separate Reads
A BTC-only brief separating daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute charts around $65,000, extreme fear, ETF flow, and funding.
Read briefMarketSemiconductors Disagree, Bitcoin Stalls at the Box Top
NVDA and SK Hynix show low-area responses; TSMC stalls high. BTC chops ~61.6K–64.7K. Dollar and yields don’t share one story.